Scenario readout
Stranded oil
0.0 M b/d
0.0% of global liquids supply
Gross disrupted (the headline number)
0.0 M b/d
Bypass absorbing
0.0 / 2.6 M b/d
Overland escape via Petroline · Fujairah · Jask
Brent shock band illustrative
+0–0%
Short-run elasticity ε 0.08–0.15 · capped
Strategic-reserve runway
∞ days
IEA-member public stocks ÷ stranded rate